Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.237472 0.273270 0.311767 0.356140 0.405769 0.459454 0.521810
2026-01-11 0.179561 0.227683 0.283652 0.353110 0.436515 0.532944 0.652328
2026-01-18 0.138169 0.192275 0.260035 0.350042 0.465247 0.606446 0.791109
2026-01-25 0.107567 0.163791 0.239350 0.346278 0.491329 0.678607 0.935579
2026-02-01 0.085175 0.141466 0.222361 0.343786 0.517453 0.752357 1.088585
2026-02-08 0.068205 0.123235 0.207551 0.341278 0.542066 0.825302 1.246236
2026-02-15 0.054676 0.107314 0.193131 0.336552 0.561879 0.892237 1.400219
2026-02-22 0.046191 0.097850 0.186961 0.343009 0.598132 0.984887 1.597201
2026-03-01 0.037774 0.086571 0.175720 0.339299 0.617428 1.052984 1.762194
2026-03-08 0.031615 0.078132 0.167854 0.339791 0.642819 1.131533 1.947579
2026-03-15 0.025915 0.069232 0.157526 0.334244 0.656943 1.192546 2.108930
2026-03-22 0.023138 0.066002 0.157482 0.347217 0.703774 1.309344 2.365681
2026-03-29 0.020535 0.062656 0.156837 0.359257 0.750607 1.430431 2.638842
2026-04-05 0.017519 0.057530 0.151593 0.361558 0.779779 1.523532 2.871558
2026-04-12 0.014844 0.052543 0.145762 0.361810 0.804920 1.611124 3.100055
2026-04-19 0.012485 0.047725 0.139428 0.360063 0.825801 1.692256 3.321867
2026-04-26 0.010539 0.043507 0.133722 0.358821 0.847318 1.775606 3.551869
2026-05-03 0.008883 0.039644 0.128157 0.357058 0.867381 1.857229 3.782887
2026-05-10 0.007395 0.035799 0.121864 0.352668 0.881347 1.927936 3.997582
2026-05-17 0.006529 0.033884 0.120452 0.359721 0.920127 2.048171 4.308758
2026-05-24 0.005463 0.030772 0.115017 0.356067 0.935111 2.122800 4.538702
2026-05-31 0.004675 0.028466 0.111479 0.356711 0.959566 2.217353 4.810503
2026-06-07 0.003865 0.025674 0.105832 0.351011 0.968940 2.281930 5.027978